Monday, October 26, 2009

The Number One Reason to Support the Free Market

This is a graph from a new NBER study by Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. It shows world poverty rates over the last forty years. There is a clear downtrend. Here are some other insights.

- Defining poverty as living on less than $1/day, world poverty rates fell by 80% from 27% in 1970 to just over 5% in 2006.

- The corresponding number of poor fell from 403 million in 1970 to 152 million in 2006.

Remember this next time someone says the free market doesn't work.


California Treasurer Spanks Legislature

Straight talk from a California Democrat. This is how I feel every time I watch the news.

Monday, September 21, 2009

Samuelson on Chinese Tire Tariffs

By Noel Barnard

In today's Washington Post, economist Robert J. Samuelson thoughtfully explores the recent tariffs imposed on Chinese tires. In his article, Samuelson points out the risks of igniting a trade war around the world in such a perilous economic climate. As a free trader, I could not agree more with Samuelson's cautious attitude toward erecting trade barriers. However, Samuelson goes on to say that the Chinese engage in "predatory" trade practices by devaluing their currency and subsidizing exports. Here is a quote from the article:

"The United States is hardly the only target. Europe and other developing countries also suffer from underpriced Chinese exports."

Is it really possible to "suffer" from underpriced exports? If my neighbor decides to sell me his house below market value, am I not in a more beneficial position than I would have been otherwise? All governments have limited resources and if a foreign government decides to subsidize cheap goods to the rest of the world, we should take advantage of it. In the long run, the purchasers of these goods will enjoy the benefits, while the taxpayers of the subsidizing country foot the bill. To me this seems like a no brainer.

According to Samuelson: "The Chinese tires undercut prices of comparable U.S. tires by about 19 percent, reports the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC). Over the same period, four U.S. tire plants shut, and employment dropped by almost 5,200. Three more factories, with an estimated 3,000 workers, could go by year's end, leaving 25 plants and about 28,000 workers."

I sympathize with those who unfortunately lost their jobs, but I believe that the negative impact of losing 5,200 jobs is outweighed by the positive impact of allowing millions of Americans to buy cheaper tires. Oh well, at least with this tariff in place I won't have to "suffer" from low priced alternatives to American products.

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

IBD Political Cartoon

With the overwhelming success of previous federal government programs, such as AmTrak, Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac, Government Motors (GM), the U.S. Postal Service, Medicare, and Medicaid, it seems incomprehensible that taxpayers wouldn't support a government ran health insurance plan.



For more cartoons by Michael Ramirez visit Investor's Business Daily's website.

Intrade: Government Run Health Insurance Plan Unlikely to Pass Before Year End

Click on Graphic to Enlarge.

According to Intrade.com, the odds of a government run health insurance plan passing both the U.S. House and the Senate by December 31, 2009 stands at a meager 23%. Conversely, the odds of failure stand at 76%.

Intrade is an exchange market that allows participants to buy and sell contracts regarding politics, entertainment, financial indicators, weather, current events and legal affairs. Each contract is sold as a $100 contract, resembling a 100% chance that such event will occur in the future.

For more information visit Intrade.com.

Friday, September 4, 2009

U.S. Treasury vs. "Old" Chrysler Creditors

"Old Chrysler Defaults on Bankruptcy Loan From U.S."

Bloomberg.com


By Linda Sandler and Erik Larson

Sept. 4 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury has sent the bankrupt remains of Chrysler LLC a default notice, saying the company failed to pay back a loan due June 30.

Treasury sent the notice of default on Aug. 13, said old Chrysler, now known as Old Carco LLC, in a bankruptcy court filing today. The U.S. government lent Old Carco $3.34 billion to complete its bankruptcy, according to the filing.

Old Carco said it was negotiating with Treasury to “address” the default. The best assets of the old company were sold to a group led by SpA. Old Carco has now reported an $11.8 billion loss on the Fiat sale, leading to a net loss of $10.2 billion in June, court records show.

The company’s private creditors, who lent Chrysler $6.9 billion and expected to get about $2 billion back from the Fiat sale, might get nothing if the Treasury demanded payment of its loans, said the lawyer for a group of creditors who tried to block the Fiat deal earlier this year.

“Having stripped Chrysler’s first lien lenders of $5 billion in connection with the sham sale of Chrysler’s assets to a shell corporation, Treasury is now trying to make it difficult for the lenders to recover any of their losses from the scraps that were left behind,” said Thomas Lauria, who represented the group, in an e-mail today.

Treasury spokeswoman Meg Reilly declined to comment.

‘Nothing at All’

“Neither Chrysler nor the government could have expected the loan would actually be repaid that quickly,” said Lynn LoPucki, who teaches bankruptcy law at the University of California, Los Angeles and Harvard.

“What they must have intended was that the bankruptcy estate of old Chrysler would be at the mercy of the government. In the current negotiations, the government will decide how much, if anything, it will leave in the estate for other creditors of Chrysler -- including the professionals working in the case. That can be nothing at all,” he said.

The new automaker run by Fiat, Chrysler Group LLC, would be unaffected by a Treasury demand for payment, said Shawn Morgan, a spokeswoman for the Auburn Hills, Michigan-based company that was spun off from Old Carco and is now being run by Fiat.

“This has nothing to do with Chrysler Group,” she said.

The U.S. government owns 9.85 percent of the new Chrysler and Canada has 2.46 percent, according to court documents. Fiat, Italy’s biggest manufacturer, has said it aims to raise its 20 percent stake to 35 percent. A union health-care trust owns 67.69 percent.

Fiat Deal

Chrysler sold its best assets to Fiat in a deal funded by the U.S. and Canadian governments. The deal paid $2 billion in cash to Old Carco, to be used at the company’s discretion to pay secured lenders.

Since filing for bankruptcy on April 30, Old Carco paid $55 million for advice from lawyers, bankers and accountants, according to the monthly operating report filed today in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan.

Old Carco had free and restricted cash of $296 million included in total assets of $2.3 billion at June 30, according to the filing. The company owed the U.S. Treasury $3.34 billion for bankruptcy financing.

Its loss was reduced by a $600 million gain taken in June after Germany’s Daimler AG, Chrysler’s onetime owner, took on $600 million of the carmaker’s pension obligation.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Warren Buffett: Dollar's Destiny Lies With Congress

Excerpts from Warren E. Buffett's Editorial, "The Greenback Effect", in today's New York Times.

The United States economy is now out of the emergency room and appears to be on a slow path to recovery. But enormous dosages of monetary medicine continue to be administered and, before long, we will need to deal with their side effects. For now, most of those effects are invisible and could indeed remain latent for a long time. Still, their threat may be as ominous as that posed by the financial crisis itself.

To understand this threat, we need to look at where we stand historically. If we leave aside the war-impacted years of 1942 to 1946, the largest annual deficit the United States has incurred since 1920 was 6 percent of gross domestic product. This fiscal year, though, the deficit will rise to about 13 percent of G.D.P., more than twice the non-wartime record. In dollars, that equates to a staggering $1.8 trillion. Fiscally, we are in uncharted territory.

Because of this gigantic deficit, our country’s “net debt” (that is, the amount held publicly) is mushrooming. During this fiscal year, it will increase more than one percentage point per month, climbing to about 56 percent of G.D.P. from 41 percent. Admittedly, other countries, like Japan and Italy, have far higher ratios and no one can know the precise level of net debt to G.D.P. at which the United States will lose its reputation for financial integrity. But a few more years like this one and we will find out...

...Unchecked carbon emissions will likely cause icebergs to melt. Unchecked greenback emissions will certainly cause the purchasing power of currency to melt. The dollar’s destiny lies with Congress.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Arthur Laffer: A Patient-Centered Approach to Health-Care Reform

Rather than expanding the role of government in the health-care market, Congress should implement a patient-centered approach to health-care reform. A patient-centered approach focuses on the patient-doctor relationship and empowers the patient and the doctor to make effective and economical choices.

A patient-centered health-care reform begins with individual ownership of insurance policies and leverages Health Savings Accounts, a low-premium, high-deductible alternative to traditional insurance that includes a tax-advantaged savings account. It allows people to purchase insurance policies across state lines and reduces the number of mandated benefits insurers are required to cover. It reallocates the majority of Medicaid spending into a simple voucher for low-income individuals to purchase their own insurance. And it reduces the cost of medical procedures by reforming tort liability laws.

By empowering patients and doctors to manage health-care decisions, a patient-centered health-care reform will control costs, improve health outcomes, and improve the overall efficiency of the health-care system.


Excerpts from Arthur Laffer's Editorial, "Obama's Health-Care Proposals Won't Make Health-Care Better", from today's Wall Street Journal.

Onion: U.S. Government Stages Fake Coup to Wipe Out National Debt


U.S. Government Stages Fake Coup To Wipe Out National Debt

Monday, August 3, 2009

Barney Frank Lets Cat Out of Bag

In this clip, Barney Frank lets the American people know that the ultimate goal of any healthcare reform is to put the United States on the road to a single-payer system.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

CARPE DIEM: Cash for Clunkers Includes 136 Pages of Rules and Regs

Webwire -- The United States Government has recently released the “Cash For Clunkers” program, 2009. There has been some confusion as to how to go about claiming the $4,500 check. First of all, there is no “$4,500 check”, at least not one the public will ever see. The entire transaction must be done at the dealership, and if the transaction qualifies, the dealership will receive the sum direct from the government.



CARPE DIEM

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WSJ: Is There a 'Right' to Health Care?

People sometimes argue in favor of a universal human right to health care by saying that health care is different from all other human goods or products. It is supposedly an important precondition of life itself. This is wrong: There are several other, much more important preconditions of human existence, such as food, shelter and clothing.

Everyone agrees that hunger is a bad thing (as is overeating), but few suppose there is a right to a healthy, balanced diet, or that if there was, the federal government would be the best at providing and distributing it to each and every American.

Where does the right to health care come from? Did it exist in, say, 250 B.C., or in A.D. 1750? If it did, how was it that our ancestors, who were no less intelligent than we, failed completely to notice it?

If, on the other hand, the right to health care did not exist in those benighted days, how did it come into existence, and how did we come to recognize it once it did?





From Theodore Dalrymple's Editorial in today's Wall Street Journal.

Which Government Program Should Be Cut?


Cartoon by Michael Ramirez of Investor's Business Daily

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Krugman's Informal Poll on Healthcare

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

WSJ: The End of Wall Street